Parameters of the model for forecasting calculated characteristics of traffic flow on automoble roads

Abstract

The article examines the parameters of the model for forecasting the calculated characteristics of traffic flow on automobile roads.

With the development of motorization for decades, the world has accumulated experience in ensuring the safety, efficiency and convenience of road traffic in cities and on highways by methods of traffic management with the use of appropriate technical means. This process will continue further as well as road construction.

Scientific research and practical engineering activities in the field of traffic management have made it possible to accumulate a wide range of requirements for road construction and specific engineering solutions that make it possible to obtain the desired effect during the mass movement of vehicles.

All developments of various methods of movement organization have a close relationship and even interpenetration.

In domestic practice, there is a lack of attention from traffic organizers and employees of road maintenance services to the creation of all the necessary conditions for traffic safety.

The possibility of creating a uniform traffic flow on the traffic lane and roadway as a whole has an independent value, it reduces the conflict of the flow and facilitates the task of optimizing the speed mode of traffic. At the same time, speed optimization is very diverse, and therefore it should be singled out as an independent direction.

The need to eliminate the unsatisfactory technical condition of roads as a preliminary stage in the implementation of traffic management measures remains a primary task in the practice of traffic management. Without an examination of road conditions and the elimination of identified deficiencies, it is impossible to start implementing developments to improve the organization of traffic, since the most progressive solutions cannot be effective in the case of unsatisfactory road conditions

The conducted research made it possible to propose the application of the methodology of analyzing the parameters of the model for forecasting the calculated characteristics of traffic flow on highways, which are the initial and final values of traffic speed, intensity, and load.

This allowed the author to assume that determining the parameters of the model for predicting the calculated characteristics of traffic flow on highways, roads, and other causes and factors that have a significant impact on the increase in the number of road transport adventures is an important task for researching on improving traffic safety.